Every dollar store that opens in a low-income neighborhood kills roughly one-third of a grocery store
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Research shows that for every three dollar stores that open within a two-mile radius, one independent grocery store closes. In rural areas, the effect is three times worse: a rural grocery store is three times more likely to exit the market after a dollar store moves in compared to urban areas. Dollar General and Dollar Tree have collectively opened over 1,000 new locations per year, and they specifically target low-income, low-access neighborhoods where grocery stores are already scarce.
The displacement is catastrophic for nutrition. When dollar stores replace grocery stores, low-income households cut their fresh produce spending by up to 30.4% (when three or more dollar stores are present). Dollar stores stock almost no fresh produce, meat, or dairy. Instead, they sell shelf-stable, calorie-dense, nutrient-poor food: canned goods, chips, candy, and sodas. The communities that lose their grocery stores don't just lose a store; they lose access to the ingredients required for a healthy diet. This drives higher rates of diabetes, heart disease, and obesity in populations already suffering the worst health outcomes in the country.
This problem persists because dollar stores exploit a structural vulnerability in the grocery business model. Grocery stores need high foot traffic and volume to survive on 1-2% margins, and they carry expensive-to-maintain perishable inventory that requires refrigeration, cold chain logistics, and frequent restocking. Dollar stores carry shelf-stable goods with far lower operational costs, no refrigeration burden, and longer shelf lives. They can profitably serve the same low-income customers with cheaper-to-operate stores. Some cities like Atlanta and Tulsa have passed ordinances limiting dollar store expansion, but these are rare exceptions and the broader trend continues unchecked.
Evidence
UCLA Anderson research found a significant decline in independent grocers following dollar store entry, roughly the loss of one grocery store for every three dollar stores within a 2-mile radius (https://anderson-review.ucla.edu/how-dollar-stores-contribute-to-food-deserts/). Low-income shoppers cut produce spending by up to 30.4% with three or more dollar stores in the market. Rural grocery stores are three times more likely to exit after dollar store entry (https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/full/10.2105/AJPH.2022.307193). Research modeling shows that without dollar store expansion, markets would have 54% more grocery stores (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0143622821001132).