Licensed Appraisers Are Aging Out and Nobody Is Replacing Them
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The number of active licensed and certified real estate appraisers in the United States has dropped from approximately 93,000 in 2015 to around 78,000 in 2023, a decline of roughly 16% in eight years. The median age of a licensed appraiser is over 55, and fewer than 5% are under 35. The pipeline of new entrants has slowed to a trickle.
This matters because when there are not enough appraisers to handle transaction volume, turn times stretch from days to weeks. In rural and exurban markets, borrowers sometimes wait 30-45 days for an appraisal, which can blow up rate locks, delay closings, and kill deals entirely. Sellers lose buyers, buyers lose favorable interest rates, and real estate agents lose commissions — all because there is literally no one available to walk through the house and sign a form. In hot markets, the bottleneck is even worse, and the pressure to rush leads to lower-quality appraisals that miss defects or misjudge value.
The structural reason this persists is that becoming a licensed appraiser requires 1,000-1,500 hours of supervised experience (depending on the state), which takes 1-2 years of working under a mentor for little or no pay. Most working appraisers have no financial incentive to train competitors, so finding a supervisor is extremely difficult. Meanwhile, Appraisal Management Companies (AMCs) have compressed fees so much that the effective hourly rate for many appraisers is below $25 after accounting for drive time, inspection, research, and report writing. Young professionals look at the math — years of unpaid training for a career paying $40-60K — and choose literally anything else.
Evidence
The Appraisal Institute reported the active appraiser count dropped from ~93,000 in 2015 to ~78,000 in 2023, with median age over 55 (https://www.appraisalinstitute.org/). The Appraisal Subcommittee's National Registry tracks the decline year over year (https://www.asc.gov/national-registry). A 2021 survey by the American Society of Appraisers found that 60% of appraisers said the trainee-supervisor model was the single biggest barrier to entry. Rural turn times of 30-45 days were documented in a 2022 report by the National Association of Realtors (https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics).