The U.S. Has Zero Domestic Commercial HALEU Production Capacity, Leaving Advanced Reactor Fuel Supply 100% Dependent on Russia's Tenex

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High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU), enriched to between 5% and 20% U-235, is required by nearly every advanced reactor design under development in the U.S., yet Russia's Tenex is the only commercial supplier on Earth, and the Centrus Energy demonstration cascade in Piketon, Ohio has produced only 920 kg of HALEU through mid-2025 — a fraction of what a single commercial reactor would need annually. Why it matters: advanced reactor developers cannot secure firm fuel supply commitments, so projects like TerraPower's Natrium in Kemmerer, Wyoming have already been delayed by fuel availability issues, so utility and data center customers cannot sign bankable power purchase agreements without fuel certainty, so private investment in advanced nuclear stalls because the technology risk is compounded by unresolved fuel supply risk, so the entire U.S. advanced reactor commercialization timeline slips by 3-5 years while Russia and China deploy their own designs fueled by domestic enrichment. The structural root cause is that the U.S. dismantled its gaseous diffusion enrichment infrastructure (Paducah closed in 2013, Portsmouth in 2001) without building centrifuge replacement capacity for higher enrichment levels, and the January 2026 DOE commitment of $2.7 billion over ten years to expand domestic enrichment will take years to translate into operational facilities.

Evidence

Centrus Energy began operating its HALEU demonstration cascade at Piketon, Ohio in October 2023 and had produced and delivered over 920 kg of HALEU to the DOE by mid-2025, but this is a demonstration facility producing only small quantities. In January 2026, the DOE committed $2.7 billion over ten years to expand domestic uranium enrichment capacity. TerraPower's Natrium reactor received its construction permit in late 2025, approximately eight months ahead of schedule, but the company had previously delayed the project due to HALEU fuel unavailability. The UK awarded $267.1 million to Urenco in 2024 to develop Europe's first HALEU facility. Sources: World Nuclear Association HALEU page; Third Way analysis; ANS Nuclear Newswire; DOE announcements.

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